Read Joint and Marginal Counts
Build a two-way table and distinguish a joint event from a total category.
Supplied materials
- Paper or a note app.
- Fictional box: red circle 4, red noncircle 8, blue circle 6, blue noncircle 6. Each of the 24 cards is equally likely to be drawn.
Learn the idea
A two-way table classifies each card by two attributes. The cell for red and circle is a joint count: the card must satisfy both attributes. A row or column total includes all cards with just one named attribute, regardless of the other attribute.
For one unconditional draw, divide the relevant count by all twenty-four equally likely cards. Circle includes both red-circle and blue-circle cards. Counting only one circle cell would omit some allowed outcomes. Add all four cells to check the table total first.
- Draw rows red and blue and columns circle and noncircle; enter 4,8,6,6.
- Find row totals 12 and 12 and column totals 10 and 14; check the grand total 24.
- Calculate the chance of red and circle, then the chance of any circle.
See the method in action
P(red and circle) = 4/24 = 1/6. P(circle) = (4 + 6)/24 = 10/24 = 5/12. The latter includes both colors in the circle column.
Check your reasoning
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See the answer and explanation
1/4
The blue-circle cell contains six cards. The sample space is all 24 cards, so P(blue and circle) = 6/24 = 1/4.
Take it further
Move one red noncircle card into the red-circle cell. Counts become 5,7,6,6; the total stays 24. P(red and circle) becomes 5/24 and P(circle) becomes 11/24.
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