Build a weather decision card
See this course’s project requirements
A weather-planning packet with forecast metadata, probability interpretation, window comparison, update log, alert guide, and an indoor-fallback decision card.
Keep your working files in your own notebook or software. Save a private description, checklist, and work link in My Proof.
What to include
- Record the correct place, issue time, and valid period.
- Explain probability without converting it into rain duration.
- Apply every hourly preference condition and threshold boundary.
- Track a forecast update and respond to the stated trigger.
- Build a decision card with a feasible fallback, recheck times, and alert precedence.
Review and revise
Use these criteria to check your work and choose what to improve.
- Forecast values retain location, period, and units.
- Probability and threshold reasoning are accurate.
- The updated decision uses the latest comparable evidence.
- The plan follows current official alert instructions and preserves unknowns.
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The idea in everyday life
Final fictional drawing event: Tuesday 2–4 p.m. at campus courtyard; indoor room 3 is available free. Latest forecast issued Tuesday 9 a.m. for that place/window: 55% rain chance, 68°F, gusts 12 mph. Logistics trigger: indoor at 40% or more. Fictional alert status at 9 a.m.: no active warning supplied; later status unknown. Group must check current official alerts before departure. No actual forecast or event is represented.
A decision card connects changing weather evidence to clear actions.
Build a weather decision card: guided practice
A decision card connects changing weather evidence to clear actions.
Use paper or a free local text editor. This is an original fictional practice case; do not submit its records to a real service. Start this lesson with these facts, even if an earlier variation changed them. Final fictional drawing event: Tuesday 2–4 p.m. at campus courtyard; indoor room 3 is available free. Latest forecast issued Tuesday 9 a.m. for that place/window: 55% rain chance, 68°F, gusts 12 mph. Logistics trigger: indoor at 40% or more. Fictional alert status at 9 a.m.: no active warning supplied; later status unknown. Group must check current official alerts before departure. No actual forecast or event is represented.
1. Document the current decision
Apply the logistics trigger to the latest card.
You should see: Use indoor room 3 because 55% reaches the trigger.
The decision follows the stated rule and current input.
2. Record what remains unknown
Write the limitation of the 9 a.m. alert snapshot.
You should see: Later alert status and travel conditions still need checking.
Missing warning information is not an all-clear. Current official alert status and later conditions still need checking.
3. Write action triggers
Add forecast recheck, room-change condition, and warning response.
You should see: Before departure: check official forecast/alerts. If room unavailable, reassess. If warning applies, follow protective instructions.
A plan should specify actions rather than only list weather facts.
4. Assemble the card
Combine location/time, probability meaning, window comparison, update log, alert guide, and final action card.
You should see: A complete weather-planning packet with a feasible indoor fallback and clear update points.
The artifact remains useful when the outdoor option is rejected.
What to finish
Build a weather decision card record with the worked decisions and changed-case check.
Watch for this
Treating “no alert information supplied” as an official all-clear.
How can I tell I understand it?
Combine forecasts, fallback options, check times, and alert precedence in a usable plan. Explain the evidence behind the result and correct any mismatch.
Quick knowledge check
Answer all 3 questions. Get at least 2 right and the lesson completes automatically.
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Answer all 3 questions above and get at least 2 right. You can review the explanations and try again.
Go to the knowledge checkOptional course overview video · same video as Lesson 1
How to Find Your Hourly Forecast
From NWSLouisville. Watch here or open it on YouTube .
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Source & access notes · checked 2026-09-12
Inspected place selection, hourly variables, date/time axes, and forecast-period controls.
Access: Public page or PDF inspected without payment or institutional sign-in on September 12, 2026. Optional external accounts are unnecessary for this course.
Reuse: Link and original paraphrase only. Public access does not grant blanket reuse; no provider text, figures, or exercises are reproduced.
Source & access notes · checked 2026-09-12
Inspected probability at a forecast point and the 0.01-inch measurable-rain definition; rejected percent-of-time interpretation.
Access: Public page or PDF inspected without payment or institutional sign-in on September 12, 2026. Optional external accounts are unnecessary for this course.
Reuse: Link and original paraphrase only. Public access does not grant blanket reuse; no provider text, figures, or exercises are reproduced.
Source & access notes · checked 2026-09-12
Inspected watch versus warning and immediate action for severe thunderstorm warnings.
Access: Public page or PDF inspected without payment or institutional sign-in on September 12, 2026. Optional external accounts are unnecessary for this course.
Reuse: Link and original paraphrase only. Public access does not grant blanket reuse; no provider text, figures, or exercises are reproduced.
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